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Author/Editor:
Emilio Fernández Corugedo ; Andres Gonzalez ; Alejandro D Guerson
Publication Date:
June 30, 2023
Electronic Access:
Free Download. Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file
Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
Summary:
This paper presents a Markov switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed to evaluate the macroeconomic return of adaptation investment to natural disasters (NDs) and the impact of climate change. While the model follows the existing literature in assuming that NDs destroy a share of the public and private capital stocks and a government that can invest in adaptation at an additional cost, it adds several features that are key to the analysis, both in the near (transition) and long (steady state) terms. Those include incomplete markets, financial frictions with collateral constraints, foreign remittances, full menu of tax and government spending instruments, and endogenous climate risk premium. The model is calibrated to the case of Dominica. It finds that NDs have large and persistent negative effects on output and public finances. It also shows that adaptation investment has large returns in terms of private investment, employment, output and tax revenue in the long term, especially under climate change.
Series:
Working Paper No. 2023/138
Frequency:
regular
Publication Date:
June 30, 2023
ISBN/ISSN:
9798400243004/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA2023138
Format:
Paper
Pages:
49
Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org
© 2022 International Monetary Fund. All rights reserved.

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