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The stock market has soared so far this year, but expect the month of August to be lackluster if the past several decades are any guide.
August is the second-worst month for the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq (^IXIC), and the worst for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) over the last 35 years, according to data compiled by Stock Trader’s Almanac.
The site's analysis also shows the August before a presidential election year points to a particularly weaker month, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq, and S&P 500 all declined in the last three pre-election years: 2019, 2015, and 2011.
Dating back even further to 1950, the S&P 500 has historically been flat on average in August and generated median gains of 0.6%, according to data compiled by LPL Financial.
And with stocks on a roll so far in 2023 and relatively weak seasonal trends ahead, "we suspect this could be a logical spot for a pause or pullback in this rally," Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial told Yahoo Finance.
"Seasonality only gets worse in September, historically the worst month for the market," he added.
This August has already gotten off to a weak start, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 about 2% lower and the Dow losing roughly 1%. 
On Wednesday the 10-year Treasury yield jumped to a new 2023 high of 4.12% after rating agency Fitch downgraded the US government's credit rating.
“When you have higher rates that puts pressure on growth stocks, technology, communications. All of those areas are going to be under pressure with higher interest rates,” JC Parets, founder of Allstarcharts.com, told Yahoo Finance Live this week.
“So you sort of have the perfect storm, regardless of what these Fitch people say," he added.
The stock market rally was initially mainly focused on the Tech Sector (XLK), Communication Services (XLC), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY).
It broadened out in June and July after the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit 52-week highs around the same period of time the Dow Jones Industrial Average also hit a peak.
Parets added that "if these tech stocks and megacap stocks will be under pressure, that means that the indexes are going to remain muted for the foreseeable future. Some of those areas like energy… like materials and industrials, that have much lower weightings in those indexes — are they going to be able to withstand the selling pressure coming from those growth stocks?"
Ines is a senior business reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter at @ines_ferre.
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Moody's cut the ratings of 10 banks by one notch and placed six banking giants, including Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, State Street and Truist Financial on review for potential downgrades.
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The Dow Jones gained as Apple stock fell. Tesla stock dipped after a key executive quit. A trio of Warren Buffett stocks are near entries.
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Transocean (RIG) expects adjusted contract drilling revenues of $720 million in Q3 2023, with O&M expenses of $540 million and full-year adjusted contract revenues in the $2.9-$3 billion range.
Hindenburg Research has made high-profile bets against Gautam Adani, Jack Dorsey, and Carl Icahn in 2023.
Semiconductor sales, which slumped in 2022, are finally making a solid rebound on higher demand, helping stocks like NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON).
Nothing warms an investor's heart more than seeing companies in their portfolio with consistently increasing earnings that also beat the analysts' expectations. With dozens of second-quarter real estate investment trust (REIT) earning reports coming out this week, take a look at three REITs with dividend yields above 6% that just beat Wall Street's second-quarter estimates for earnings and revenue. EPR Properties (NYSE:EPR) is a Kansas City, Missouri-based diversified experiential REIT that owns
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Twilio (TWLO) is seeing favorable earnings estimate revision activity and has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP heading into earnings season.
5 stocks accounted for 10.3% of total global wealth created between 1990 and 2020. 159 stocks accounted for 50%.
The company said boosting dividends was part of a “sustainable and progressive” approach to investor payouts.

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